Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.065138 0.076865 0.089988 0.105745 0.124140 0.144919 0.170161
2025-06-01 0.046625 0.061636 0.080308 0.105180 0.137376 0.177578 0.231522
2025-06-08 0.035584 0.051410 0.072788 0.103641 0.146878 0.205148 0.289454
2025-06-15 0.029551 0.045947 0.069648 0.106175 0.160781 0.239059 0.359396
2025-06-22 0.024287 0.040286 0.064832 0.104898 0.168256 0.264066 0.419266
2025-06-29 0.020036 0.035243 0.059865 0.102188 0.172573 0.284214 0.473673
2025-07-06 0.016624 0.030873 0.055119 0.098826 0.174945 0.301051 0.524310
2025-07-13 0.014791 0.028857 0.053894 0.101007 0.186537 0.333871 0.604774
2025-07-20 0.013059 0.026698 0.052031 0.101672 0.195380 0.362811 0.681751
2025-07-27 0.011624 0.024843 0.050403 0.102442 0.204344 0.392764 0.763752
2025-08-03 0.010491 0.023384 0.049284 0.103950 0.214761 0.426349 0.856059
2025-08-10 0.009700 0.022497 0.049144 0.107324 0.229134 0.468821 0.969852
2025-08-17 0.008350 0.020200 0.045833 0.103843 0.229512 0.484734 1.034661
2025-08-24 0.007460 0.018788 0.044196 0.103689 0.236801 0.515329 1.132866
2025-08-31 0.006596 0.017284 0.042123 0.102252 0.241096 0.540181 1.221952
2025-09-07 0.006108 0.016606 0.041820 0.104770 0.254424 0.585540 1.359842
2025-09-14 0.005448 0.015375 0.040026 0.103513 0.258931 0.612167 1.459590
2025-09-21 0.004796 0.014046 0.037785 0.100837 0.259715 0.630490 1.542620
2025-09-28 0.004197 0.012751 0.035430 0.097518 0.258471 0.643946 1.615829
2025-10-05 0.003919 0.012307 0.035215 0.099672 0.271099 0.691357 1.774610
2025-10-12 0.003604 0.011701 0.034476 0.100329 0.279984 0.730721 1.918233
2025-10-19 0.003325 0.011152 0.033809 0.101088 0.289230 0.771977 2.071066
2025-10-26 0.003098 0.010724 0.033424 0.102578 0.300629 0.819890 2.245964